1. Global Crypto-assets Market: Factors Influencing Trends in Prices
The usage of Bitcoin for transactions on Silk Road, the first contemporary dark web bazaar, is responsible for the early increase in liquidity in crypto-assets. Early users' usage of Bitcoin for these transactions sparked a chain of events that eventually resulted in Bitcoin reaching its $1 billion market cap, including the emergence of rival digital currencies, digital asset trading platforms, and wallets.
Another significant turning point was the technological innovation of Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, which opened the door for altcoins and a digital assets market less dependent on Bitcoin-related activity. Initial coin offerings (ICOs) and a diversified asset market with a wide range of digital assets and use cases were brought about by this.
Currently, there are more than 100,000 crypto assets with a global market capitalization of $1.14 trillion (CoinGecko). Investment categories including gaming (play-to-earn), move-to-earn, climate (carbon credit tokens), metaverse (e.g., SAND), NFTs, stablecoins, etc. are all served by these crypto-assets.
To gain a better understanding of future market trends, traders and investors can examine past market trends to test trading techniques and model various situations. However, as always, please keep in mind that no forecast, forecast, simulation, or result from the past is necessarily a reliable indicator of the future or the potential performance of any investment.
An introduction of
some of the instruments that help investors understand price movements in
crypto-assets is given in this article, along with a discussion of some
significant advancements in the field.
2. Factors Affecting Global Trends in Crypto-asset Markets
Price trajectories can be dramatically changed by a variety of circumstances, both in the short and long term. The price chart of cryptocurrency assets over ten years shows certain unusual occurrences that fit into one or more of the characteristics we discuss below.
We break down these aspects chronologically in this part and present real-world examples that show how they diverted preexisting price trends.
i. Emerging Technology in the World Market for Crypto-assets
16 years ago, Bell's lab conducted cryptography research on leveraging blockchain technology to check data integrity across an open, trustless network. This study lay the groundwork for the current crypto-assets market. A new age in digital banking began in 2009 with the creation of Bitcoin, which was made possible by the ultimate breakthrough in blockchain technology.
Between 2014 and 2016, the market for digital assets grew from a market valuation of about $5 billion to over $500 billion thanks to the adoption of Bitcoin, Vitalik's smart contract innovation, and other causes.
The market then crossed the trillion-dollar barrier as a result of the initial coin offering (ICO) boom, which was brought on by a variety of smart contract applications and boutique token offers across industries. Before exchanges noticed and listed specific tokens in an initial exchange offering (IEO), new companies could rapidly and simply begin their token project through an initial coin offering (ICO) by using smart contracts. Since centralized exchanges (CEXs) like One Trading conduct due diligence on projects to safeguard clients' interests and lower the danger of rug-pulls, not all tokens that go through an initial coin offering (ICO) are offered for IEO.
Decentralized
applications (dApps) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), which we'll talk about later
in this post, are examples of subsequent blockchain innovations. Technology can help bring about a price
turnaround, but as is frequently the case with technology-driven market
bubbles, it's important to determine whether its impact is exacerbated by
outside factors like media influence.
ii. Market Conjecture and Attitudes in the Worldwide Crypto-assets Market
One of the most volatile asset markets is undoubtedly the crypto-assets market, which has historically been marked by a lack of liquidity and regulatory control. However, as institutions, governments, and regulators get more involved, these characteristics are gradually shifting. Because of these factors, cryptocurrency prices are prone to sentiment and speculation-driven swings, just like the early stock market was impacted by tabloid rumors.
An excellent illustration is the 2017 crypto boom, in which the whole market hit all-time highs. The main force behind this upsurge was speculative zeal stoked by growing recognition and a flood of new investors. Crypto asset prices surged to previously unheard-of heights before a major collapse in 2018, highlighting the strong influence of mood on transient patterns.
TerraUSD (UST) holders lost faith in the underlying asset and payment mechanism that supported the Terra Luna USD peg, which led to the Terra Luna Trillion-dollar crash. This was mostly caused by Binance's stake in the Terra stable peg token and its staff. By volume, this drop is the biggest bearish trend in the cryptocurrency market to date. Stablecoins that are algorithmically pegged, such as TerraUSD, add tokens to the supply if the price is rising too high to lower it, or they take tokens out of the supply if the price falls. There has now been a general lack of trust in algorithmically pegged stablecoins as a result of the TerraUSD flash crash.
3. The Use of Technical Analysis to Examine Price Trends
TA's efficacy is
confirmed by several line and candlestick chart patterns found in digital
assets charts throughout time. We will examine some of
these events from the past ten years in the section that follows.
i. Price Patterns and Candlestick Charts
There are many different candlestick patterns, but they all have one thing in common: red candles represent negative forces, and green candles indicate bullish forces or a positive trend (depending on the timeframe). An outline of TA pricing trends can be found here.
ii. Variable Averages
The average price of an asset over a given period—in this case, cryptocurrency assets—is tracked using moving averages. Moving averages are important because they can show both short-term and long-term trends, regardless of the timeframe.
Traders can spot a "Golden cross," which indicates that recent prices outperform earlier ones and portends an imminent positive trend, by looking at snapshots of an asset's price over different timeframes, such as Bitcoin.
Bitcoin's Golden Cross
of 2021: In November 2021, Bitcoin created a golden cross (see the green
circle). This was followed by a huge surge that saw Bitcoin hit its highest
level ever, surpassing $68,000, not long after. Moving averages can provide
information about a bullish market trend, as this example illustrates.
iii. Levels of Support and Resistance
Whereas resistance serves as an impenetrable ceiling, support is a price floor where prices typically recover. Because they help traders decide when to purchase (typically at support) or sell (usually at resistance), support and resistance levels are both essential.
Knowing the levels of support and resistance can provide you a competitive edge because they act as the market's collective memory. Usually, resistance levels serve as the new support level when they are broken, and vice versa, when a price drops below a support, the prior support level serves as a resistance level.
Additional technical
indicators include Fibonacci Retracement levels, which resemble springs beneath
the market's surface, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which serves as an
investor's compass for spotting possible reversals and rebounds.
4. Cryptocurrency in the Metaverse and NFTs: Digital Ownership and Virtual Real Estate
Another exciting development in
the cryptocurrency space is the intersection of digital currencies with the
growing metaverse and NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens). These emerging
sectors are opening new opportunities for crypto adoption and are expected to
grow substantially in the coming years.
NFTs have exploded in popularity,
allowing users to buy, sell, and trade unique digital assets—ranging from
digital art and collectibles to music, videos, and virtual real estate. NFTs
are powered by blockchain technology, which ensures that the ownership of these
assets is recorded in a transparent and immutable ledger. Platforms like
OpenSea, Rarible, and SuperRare are driving the NFT
marketplace, where artists, creators, and collectors can engage in peer-to-peer
transactions.
The metaverse—a virtual
world where users can interact with one another and digital objects in a 3D
environment—has also gained momentum. Facebook (now Meta) has made
significant investments in the metaverse, signaling its belief in the future of
virtual worlds. As the metaverse grows, the demand for NFTs, digital assets,
and cryptocurrency platforms to facilitate these transactions is likely to
increase. This convergence of NFTs, cryptocurrencies, and virtual worlds
creates a fascinating new dimension in the digital economy.
5. Economic and Geopolitical Factors: The
Role of Bitcoin as a Safe Haven
Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin
have often been described as a hedge against traditional financial instability.
This is particularly evident during times of economic uncertainty, when people
may turn to cryptocurrencies as a store of value or an alternative to fiat
currencies.
For example, during periods of high
inflation, many investors seek assets like Bitcoin as a way to protect
their wealth from the devaluation of national currencies. Bitcoin’s fixed
supply (21 million coins) makes it an appealing asset in this context.
Similarly, during times of geopolitical turmoil, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine
conflict, some investors view Bitcoin and other decentralized assets as a safer
alternative to traditional banking systems that could be disrupted by sanctions
or political instability.
In such environments, cryptocurrencies offer an alternative to traditional financial systems, providing a means to protect wealth outside the reach of governments or central banks.
Conclusion: Navigating the Future of
Cryptocurrency
The cryptocurrency ecosystem is a
rapidly changing and highly dynamic space. While platforms like Binance,
Coinbase, Kraken, and Gemini continue to dominate the industry,
they are not the only players shaping the future of crypto. New developments,
both technological and regulatory, continue to redefine how cryptocurrencies
are used, traded, and understood in the global economy.
For investors and traders looking
to enter the world of cryptocurrency, understanding the forces that influence
the market is essential. Whether it's the evolving regulatory landscape,
institutional adoption, technological innovations like Ethereum 2.0 and DeFi,
or the rise of NFTs and the metaverse, staying informed is key to making
well-rounded, strategic decisions.
Moreover, as more financial
institutions adopt cryptocurrency and governments around the world create
regulations, the future of the market looks more promising than ever. But, as
always, the risks remain—market volatility, security threats, and regulatory
uncertainties are just a few challenges crypto users face.
So, whether you’re a novice
trader looking to dip your toes in the water or an experienced investor
exploring new opportunities, staying updated with the latest news and trends in
the cryptocurrency market is crucial. The road ahead is full of exciting
possibilities, and with careful planning and the right knowledge, you can
maximize your chances of success in this evolving digital frontier.
Stay informed, make smart
investments, and ride the waves of the digital revolution in cryptocurrency.
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